Good Thursday morning. To start the week we barely had a day of (some) selling pressure in US equities and the same people that rarely (if ever) beat the markets are already warning of a severe market correction.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. A bit of air is coming out of the tech melt-up move higher this AM, post earnings reports, as Netflix (-6%), VRA 10-bagger Tesla (-4%) and IBM (-2%) are each selling off this AM. The moves higher in each has been parabolic this year and with our markets trading at extreme overbought levels on the VRA System, a shake-out does not surprise. Nasdaq is -120 in premarket.
Read MoreWe started the week with each US broad market index trading at (or “very" near) our most overbought designation on the VRA Investing System; “extreme overbought on steroids”…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. From the 10/13 capitulation lows it’s been our view that the equity markets have bottomed and that rates, the US dollar and inflation have all peaked. The action in semis/tech and housing have solidified our views. When the most important market/economic elements of the VRA Investing System… are leading the markets higher…
Read MoreWith 4 days of trading left in the first month of the new year the S&P 500 is up 5.2% with the tech heavy Nasdaq up a massive 9.3%. Should January finish higher it will complete the “bullish trifecta” for the Stock Trader Almanac, joining the Santa Claus rally and first 5 trading days of the new year in being up. When all 3 are higher it bodes exceptionally well for full year results.
Read MoreGood Friday morning all. From the 10/13/22 capitulation lows we’ve been witness to a textbook “new bull market”. It’s only just the beginning of a new bull market…one that should last years…just know that we have hit heavily overbought readings on the VRA Investing System (more on this later):
Read MoreGood Friday morning all. As we’ve covered over the last year, the current bear market…the 3rd in 4 years…actually started in February 2021. That’s when groups such as SPACs, meme stocks, China, biotechnology, etc hit a top and started to decline.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. As we have covered in previous updates, as bad as J Powells track record is (once his pressers begin the markets immediately start to tank), JP actually scored a win yesterday. When he began speaking the Dow was -309 and Nasdaq -104, but by the close the Dow was -265…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. This feels as much like a goldilocks market as I can remember. You know the reasons we’re bullish…the reasons we’ve been aggressively bullish for the last 14 months…but its primarily about two issues. These are the most important two issues of any bull or bear market;
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. Another “must watch” monthly economic report was out yesterday as the April CPI came in hot at 0.8% vs consensus estimate of 0.2%. But let’s be real…like the April jobs report, none of these monthly reports are actually “must watch”.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. Yesterday marked the 3rd straight day of less than great internals with negative across the board in A/D and volume, while the bright spot continued to be new 52 week high/lows at 341 new highs to just 39 new lows.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. Reminder that markets are closed tomorrow for Good Friday. First quarter 2021 is now in the books. As Tyler covered on our VRA Podcast yesterday, how remarkable that the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 each had “lightning fast” 10% corrections,
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. Market softness continued yesterday, following a solid open with good internals, as mid-day selling pressure took the Dow from +320 to slightly negative at the close. Nasdaq weakness was pervasive throughout the day, taking the index -2% at the close.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. New closing highs in Nasdaq with a golden cross in S&P 500 looking pretty certain today, even as most everyone that I know, speak with and follow feels like the bottom could drop out at any moment. With CV mass hysteria raging (again),
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. Yesterday President Trump was impeached in the House. Regardless of how right or wrong it may be, get ready for non-stop never-Trump MSM coverage and political ads with “Trump is only the 2nd president in modern times to be impeached”.
Read MoreGood Friday afternoon all, Tyler here with you for today’s update. As Kip mentioned in yesterday’s update the VRA Investing System has been downgraded from 10/12 screens bullish to 9/12 screens bullish. We have been at 10/12 screens bullish since June 19th,
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2008 Libertarian Vice Presidential candidate
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