Good Thursday morning. To start the week we barely had a day of (some) selling pressure in US equities and the same people that rarely (if ever) beat the markets are already warning of a severe market correction.
Read MoreLast year, and well into 2023, you could throw a rock at 100 mainstream economists…grouped together like sardines…and not hit a single one that wasn’t predicting a recession (outside of Evercore’s Ed Hyman, that is). It was essentially unanimous; the US was headed into a recession and it was barreling towards us like a freight train.
Read MoreBreaking; we just learned that the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge (core PCE) fell to 4.2% in March from 5.1% in February. This marks 8 straight months that we’ve had “disinflation”. With both US and European GDP reports coming in weak, we reiterate our call for the Fed to cease rate hikes and to begin cutting rates. The 10 year yield is 3.44% this AM while the Fed funds rate is 5%. The Fed never leads, they only follow. The markets are screaming at the Fed to “pause and pivot”.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. From the 10/13 capitulation lows it’s been our view that the equity markets have bottomed and that rates, the US dollar and inflation have all peaked. The action in semis/tech and housing have solidified our views. When the most important market/economic elements of the VRA Investing System… are leading the markets higher…
Read MoreThe short-covering move higher to start the week marked the best start to a 4th quarter since 1938. The move may have been fueled by short covering and the extreme oversold (on steroid) conditions that we’ve been pointing out.
Read MoreGood Friday morning all. After Wednesday’s 2–3% ramp higher (S&P 500, Nasdaq, R2K) it sure felt like the lows were in as we had a 90% up-volume day in NYSE with 7:1 advance/decline and as S&P 500 put in an outside day (technical buy signal).
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. Following last Friday's jobs report the markets moved sharply higher, only to give up all of its gains and then close lower by 1% across the board on concerns that Russia would cut off European gas supplies (which happened).
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all, Q2 GDP — Recession in the US Second quarter GDP just came in at a negative .9%, meaning back to back negative quarters and the technical definition of a recession. First, I owe Wayne Root a Las Vegas dinner.
Read MoreGood Friday afternoon all. Before we get to the markets, which has both a crash scenario along with some of their most oversold levels we’ve ever seen, we’re beginning this morning with “Team Lockstep”. Here’s todays VRA VidCast covering this topic:
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"Kip's VRA financial newsletter is a MUST read for every saavy investor in this country. Disregard it at your own peril. His mantra is my mantra. Kip Herriage's newsletter is my financial Bible."
--Wayne Allyn Root
2008 Libertarian Vice Presidential candidate
Author, "The Conscience of a Libertarian"
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