Good Friday morning. We have a few VRA Quick Hitters for you this AM:
1.) 2025 Returns: Broad Market & VRA Portfolio…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. As expected, yesterday’s FOMC statement and Powell presser was dovish. The markets liked it…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. Another day featuring sharp early morning losses, followed by a strong rally in the afternoon which saw the Dow Jones rally close to 400 points off of the lows. That’s back to back days, one featuring a straight up move in Nasdaq and one day in the Dow Jones…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. With less than 3 weeks to go to the election our political coverage will likely ramp up. That’s the case this morning, following Harris’ interview last night with Fox’s Bret Baier…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. If you look up “wall of worry” in the dictionary you might just find a picture of the current set-up for our bull market...
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. Heads up; I’ll be on Wayne Allyn Roots new hit show on Frank Speech (Frank Network) tonight at 7:30 PM EST. Wayne, as many/most reading this know...
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. The Feds rate cutting cycle has arrived. Going against 90% of economists predictions…who predicted a .25% rate cut…J Powell and the Fed actually got this one right by cutting by .50%.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. It’s always great being on with Charles Payne. There aren’t many smart-money “talking heads”, but Charles is one of them. The reality is that the vast majority of media personalities know that “fear sells” so they pander to worst-case scenarios
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all.
This morning the Bank of England’s messaging made it clear that they will soon be cutting rates. The ECB is very close to that same decision. We expect both central banks to cut rates in June…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. We’ve dedicated much of the last week's VRA Letters to the “war risks” and corresponding action in the broad markets. We’re now just a few days away from Q1 tech earnings kicking off in style, with high profile names Tesla (next Tuesday), META (Wednesday) and Alphabet, Amazon, Intel and Microsoft set to report next Thursday. We see a great setup unfolding…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. To start the week we barely had a day of (some) selling pressure in US equities and the same people that rarely (if ever) beat the markets are already warning of a severe market correction.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. After spending more than a year writing “The Big Bribe” Tyler and I published it just prior to the 10/13/22 bear market lows. We forecast a boom time in America, with the Roaring 2020’s as the theme.
Read MoreGood Friday morning. As if right on cue, the semis and megacap tech stocks surged to ATH’s yesterday, in advance of Q4 tech earnings that kick off in earnest next week. When the semis (SMH), tech (XLK) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) are hitting new ATH’s together they’re giving us a crystal-ball road-map for the broader markets.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. I’m scheduled to be on Fox Business with Charles Payne this coming Monday. I think that makes 8 appearances this year. Always an honor as Charles is one of the really good guys, with a remarkable background to boot.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. Following the parabolic move higher in each major US equity index from the 10/27 lows…just as seasonality was turning bullish…on the VRA System we now have each index hitting extreme overbought levels, but importantly this is only on our shortest term momentum oscillators. Combined with the shockingly bullish technical signals that we’ve seen over the last 8 trading days it remains our view that important lows are in place and that pullbacks from here should continue to be bought (if we have pullbacks, that is).
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. All eyes were on the Fed yesterday, as they delivered their latest interest rate decision. The Fed left the fed funds rate unchanged at 5.50% after its two-day meeting.
The Fed is Done
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. Quick hitters this AM.
As Tyler covered in yesterday's VRA Investing Podcast, as seasonal weakness continues to weigh on stocks we’re already seeing a sharp rise in put/call ratios.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. So I’m working out this morning when Delta Airlines reported earnings…a record beating quarter for both revenue and earnings…which included the statement that they are ordering a massive number of new planes to keep up with soaring travel demand…
Read MoreDo you believe in history repeating?
I’m Getting a 1995–2000 Vibe.
From 1995–2000, Nasdaq rose from 750 to 5132, soaring 584%. Over a 3 year time frame more than 500 companies went public that more than doubled on their first day of trading.
Read MoreIt hasn’t been straight up from the 10/13 bear market lows but in (most) ways this has been a textbook bull market move higher. From the overwhelming level of fear from 3 bear markets in 4 years to last years August — October waterfall mini-meltdown that culminated in the 10/13 bear market capitulation, from those lows the move higher has checked all of the “new bull market” boxes.
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"Kip's VRA financial newsletter is a MUST read for every saavy investor in this country. Disregard it at your own peril. His mantra is my mantra. Kip Herriage's newsletter is my financial Bible."
--Wayne Allyn Root
2008 Libertarian Vice Presidential candidate
Author, "The Conscience of a Libertarian"
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