Good Friday morning. We have a few VRA Quick Hitters for you this AM:
1.) 2025 Returns: Broad Market & VRA Portfolio…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. As expected, yesterday’s FOMC statement and Powell presser was dovish. The markets liked it…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. Another day featuring sharp early morning losses, followed by a strong rally in the afternoon which saw the Dow Jones rally close to 400 points off of the lows. That’s back to back days, one featuring a straight up move in Nasdaq and one day in the Dow Jones…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. With less than 3 weeks to go to the election our political coverage will likely ramp up. That’s the case this morning, following Harris’ interview last night with Fox’s Bret Baier…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. If you look up “wall of worry” in the dictionary you might just find a picture of the current set-up for our bull market...
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. Heads up; I’ll be on Wayne Allyn Roots new hit show on Frank Speech (Frank Network) tonight at 7:30 PM EST. Wayne, as many/most reading this know...
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. The Feds rate cutting cycle has arrived. Going against 90% of economists predictions…who predicted a .25% rate cut…J Powell and the Fed actually got this one right by cutting by .50%.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. It’s always great being on with Charles Payne. There aren’t many smart-money “talking heads”, but Charles is one of them. The reality is that the vast majority of media personalities know that “fear sells” so they pander to worst-case scenarios
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all.
This morning the Bank of England’s messaging made it clear that they will soon be cutting rates. The ECB is very close to that same decision. We expect both central banks to cut rates in June…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. We’ve dedicated much of the last week's VRA Letters to the “war risks” and corresponding action in the broad markets. We’re now just a few days away from Q1 tech earnings kicking off in style, with high profile names Tesla (next Tuesday), META (Wednesday) and Alphabet, Amazon, Intel and Microsoft set to report next Thursday. We see a great setup unfolding…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. To start the week we barely had a day of (some) selling pressure in US equities and the same people that rarely (if ever) beat the markets are already warning of a severe market correction.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. After spending more than a year writing “The Big Bribe” Tyler and I published it just prior to the 10/13/22 bear market lows. We forecast a boom time in America, with the Roaring 2020’s as the theme.
Read MoreGood Friday morning. As if right on cue, the semis and megacap tech stocks surged to ATH’s yesterday, in advance of Q4 tech earnings that kick off in earnest next week. When the semis (SMH), tech (XLK) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) are hitting new ATH’s together they’re giving us a crystal-ball road-map for the broader markets.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. I’m scheduled to be on Fox Business with Charles Payne this coming Monday. I think that makes 8 appearances this year. Always an honor as Charles is one of the really good guys, with a remarkable background to boot.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. Following the parabolic move higher in each major US equity index from the 10/27 lows…just as seasonality was turning bullish…on the VRA System we now have each index hitting extreme overbought levels, but importantly this is only on our shortest term momentum oscillators. Combined with the shockingly bullish technical signals that we’ve seen over the last 8 trading days it remains our view that important lows are in place and that pullbacks from here should continue to be bought (if we have pullbacks, that is).
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. All eyes were on the Fed yesterday, as they delivered their latest interest rate decision. The Fed left the fed funds rate unchanged at 5.50% after its two-day meeting.
The Fed is Done
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. Quick hitters this AM.
As Tyler covered in yesterday's VRA Investing Podcast, as seasonal weakness continues to weigh on stocks we’re already seeing a sharp rise in put/call ratios.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. So I’m working out this morning when Delta Airlines reported earnings…a record beating quarter for both revenue and earnings…which included the statement that they are ordering a massive number of new planes to keep up with soaring travel demand…
Read MoreDo you believe in history repeating?
I’m Getting a 1995–2000 Vibe.
From 1995–2000, Nasdaq rose from 750 to 5132, soaring 584%. Over a 3 year time frame more than 500 companies went public that more than doubled on their first day of trading.
Read MoreIt hasn’t been straight up from the 10/13 bear market lows but in (most) ways this has been a textbook bull market move higher. From the overwhelming level of fear from 3 bear markets in 4 years to last years August — October waterfall mini-meltdown that culminated in the 10/13 bear market capitulation, from those lows the move higher has checked all of the “new bull market” boxes.
Read More
"Kip's VRA financial newsletter is a MUST read for every saavy investor in this country. Disregard it at your own peril. His mantra is my mantra. Kip Herriage's newsletter is my financial Bible."
--Wayne Allyn Root
2008 Libertarian Vice Presidential candidate
Author, "The Conscience of a Libertarian"
Good Friday morning. Before we get to today’s Letter, there is one important point to remember: we are still extraordinarily early in this bull market. The permabears that like to fear monger us into being tempted to remove money from the markets should be actively ignored and avoided…
Good Friday morning. Breaking: the jobs report for April is in and it’s another beat to the upside. 117,000 jobs were created, beating the estimate of 65,000, with private payrolls almost doubling previous estimates. The unemployment rate stays unchanged at 4.3%. For a comp, take a look north at our neighbor Canada, which just reported a miserable unemployment rate of 6.9%…
Good Thursday morning. We’re seeing important technical and fundamental…and yes, contrarian indicators that point to a near-term “sharp” move higher in the markets and a continuation of this generational bull market. Our call from Monday was that the Monday lows would be THE lows and on a closing basis…
Good Thursday morning.
For our newer VRA readers, welcome….it’s great having you with us. We encourage you to stay locked in over the months and years to come, as we continue on our mission to “Crush Mr. Market”.
Good Thursday morning.
Brief recap of where things stand with the VRA Investing System. Based on the lessons learned from my mentors (Ted Parson, Underwood Neuhaus and Michael Metz, Oppenheimer) I’ve spent the last 40 years building the VRA System. The VRA Investing System is made up of 12 screens, 70% fundamental and 30% technical. ..
Good Thursday morning. Following yesterdays strong jobs data and solid open we had a mid-day shakeout that took the markets from 1% higher to 1% lower, in fairly short order…
Good Thursday morning. We’d like to welcome our new VRA Readers that have joined us recently, many of which have come to us through our TV work with Wayne Allyn Root, Grant Stinchfield and Charles Payne, three American patriots that we are proud to call friends…
Good Thursday afternoon. I was going to do a deep dive on yesterday’s Fed meeting and presser with J Powell, but frankly, it’s not worth our time and energy…
Good Thursday morning. Breaking: Final Q3 GDP is in with growth of 4.4% vs estimates of 4.3%. Beginning last summer we were the first strategists in America (that we are aware of) that began forecasting GDP growth would surpass 5% by Q3 2026. With the Atlanta Fed’s Q4 GDPNow estimate of 5.4% growth, it looks like the Trump Economic Miracle will beat our GDP estimates to the punch.
Good Thursday morning. As we’ve covered extensively over the last 3 years, we have entered a “structural” bull market that will carry US stocks sharply higher through at least 2030. The Roaring 2020’s combined with our "Big 3”…
Good Thursday morning. Before we get to the latest market moving news, here are our full year returns for 2025, and what you can expect from the VRA in 2026.
Good Friday morning. Over the last couple of weeks we’ve talked about the reasons for this short term liquidity-led shakeout, including yesterdays massive intraday reversal which began exactly as (fired) Fed Governor Lisa Cook was giving a speech where she warned extensively of a “sharp market reversal” (In no way do I believe this was a coincidence). However, what’s more important this morning is covering where we are and what comes next.
Good Friday morning. Heads up: I’m scheduled to be on ‘Making Money with Charles Payne’ in the 2PM EST hour. Hope you can join us.
Market Update…
Good Friday morning. Today we’ll cover some of the “chinks in the armor, of this market, then we’ll get to the government shutdown, and finally we will wrap the week with the markets and economy…
Heads up; I’m scheduled to be on Fox Business “Making Money with Charles Payne” in the 2PM EST hour. Hope you can join in (I’ll post the exact time on X).
Personal note: I wanted to take a second to say thank you for being here with us…
Good Friday morning. We have a few VRA Quick Hitters for you this AM:
1.) 2025 Returns: Broad Market & VRA Portfolio…
I have posted this VRA Letter each 9/11 since 2006 (updated only with relevant facts), when my research and due diligence made it no longer possible to remain silent…
Good Thursday morning. As we came into Q2 earnings reports we explained why Wall Street was being far too pessimistic. As you read these excellent Q2 earnings below, featuring earnings growth for the S&P 500 of 11.8%, remember that Wall Street was forecasting growth of just 4.9% (vs our estimates 8–10% growth).
Heads up: I’ll be on Wayne Allyn Root’s hit new podcast (with The Gateway Pundit) tonight at 7:30 EST. Stream via Waynes X account, Rumble, TGP, etc. Hope you can join us as we discuss the Trump Economic Miracle 2.0 and some of the bullish topics we talk about here daily.
Macro Update: The Trump Economic Miracle 2.0…
By this time in 2022, Tyler and I had completed our research for The Big Bribe and were about 80% finished writing the book (my 4th, Tyler's 1st). Frankly, we were stunned by what we were finding…
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