Good Friday morning. We have a few VRA Quick Hitters for you this AM:
1.) 2025 Returns: Broad Market & VRA Portfolio…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. As expected, yesterday’s FOMC statement and Powell presser was dovish. The markets liked it…
Read MoreGood Friday morning. What a time to be alive. What a time to be an American.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. If you look up “wall of worry” in the dictionary you might just find a picture of the current set-up for our bull market...
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. Heads up; I’ll be on Wayne Allyn Roots new hit show on Frank Speech (Frank Network) tonight at 7:30 PM EST. Wayne, as many/most reading this know...
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. The Feds rate cutting cycle has arrived. Going against 90% of economists predictions…who predicted a .25% rate cut…J Powell and the Fed actually got this one right by cutting by .50%.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. After crashing 13% on Monday, Japan’s Nikkei has gained back 90% of those losses in the last few days. After Monday’s selloff, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) reversed course on hiking rates, saying that “doing so in unstable markets is a mistake we will not make”.
Read MoreCheck out Kip’s latest interview on The Root Reaction with Wayne Root.
As we see it, too many remain in the dark about the generational bull market underway, featuring soaring corporate earnings, led by consumers & companies in their best shape in decades.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. It’s always great being on with Charles Payne. There aren’t many smart-money “talking heads”, but Charles is one of them. The reality is that the vast majority of media personalities know that “fear sells” so they pander to worst-case scenarios
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all.
This morning the Bank of England’s messaging made it clear that they will soon be cutting rates. The ECB is very close to that same decision. We expect both central banks to cut rates in June…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. Just prior to publishing “The Big Bribe” in the fall of 2022 we went aggressively long the market, citing our primary base case;
We’re in the Roaring 2020’s, powered by consumers and US co’s in their strongest financial shape in decades…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. We’ve dedicated much of the last week's VRA Letters to the “war risks” and corresponding action in the broad markets. We’re now just a few days away from Q1 tech earnings kicking off in style, with high profile names Tesla (next Tuesday), META (Wednesday) and Alphabet, Amazon, Intel and Microsoft set to report next Thursday. We see a great setup unfolding…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. These short term mini-pauses have done wonders for the overbought readings on our VRA Investing System. Today, even as our markets are just off of all-time highs, those overbought readings are gone. This market still has room to run.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. As I explained on my podcast yesterday, J Powell went off script at his presser and likely just made “another” policy mistake, which will be his 5th since taking the appointment to Fed Chair.
I repeat; J Powell is the worst Fed Chair of my time…
Read MoreGood Friday morning. As if right on cue, the semis and megacap tech stocks surged to ATH’s yesterday, in advance of Q4 tech earnings that kick off in earnest next week. When the semis (SMH), tech (XLK) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) are hitting new ATH’s together they’re giving us a crystal-ball road-map for the broader markets.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. I’m scheduled to be on Fox Business with Charles Payne this coming Monday. I think that makes 8 appearances this year. Always an honor as Charles is one of the really good guys, with a remarkable background to boot.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. Following the parabolic move higher in each major US equity index from the 10/27 lows…just as seasonality was turning bullish…on the VRA System we now have each index hitting extreme overbought levels, but importantly this is only on our shortest term momentum oscillators. Combined with the shockingly bullish technical signals that we’ve seen over the last 8 trading days it remains our view that important lows are in place and that pullbacks from here should continue to be bought (if we have pullbacks, that is).
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. All eyes were on the Fed yesterday, as they delivered their latest interest rate decision. The Fed left the fed funds rate unchanged at 5.50% after its two-day meeting.
The Fed is Done
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. Third quarter GDP was reported this AM and showed blistering growth in the US economy of 4.9%, beating estimates of 4.5%. This is the strongest economic growth since Q4 2021 when growth was just shy of 7% (coronavirus insanity). Of note in the report, consumer spending rose 4% in Q3, soaring past Q2 consumer spending, which came in at just .8%.
Read MoreGood Friday morning. The worst week of the year for US equity markets ends today, punctuated by this week’s FOMC meeting/statement and J Powell presser, which…once again…led to a steep sell-off in stocks…Powell’s specialty.
Read More
"Kip's VRA financial newsletter is a MUST read for every saavy investor in this country. Disregard it at your own peril. His mantra is my mantra. Kip Herriage's newsletter is my financial Bible."
--Wayne Allyn Root
2008 Libertarian Vice Presidential candidate
Author, "The Conscience of a Libertarian"
Good Friday morning. Before we get to today’s Letter, there is one important point to remember: we are still extraordinarily early in this bull market. The permabears that like to fear monger us into being tempted to remove money from the markets should be actively ignored and avoided…
Good Friday morning. Breaking: the jobs report for April is in and it’s another beat to the upside. 117,000 jobs were created, beating the estimate of 65,000, with private payrolls almost doubling previous estimates. The unemployment rate stays unchanged at 4.3%. For a comp, take a look north at our neighbor Canada, which just reported a miserable unemployment rate of 6.9%…
Good Thursday morning. We’re seeing important technical and fundamental…and yes, contrarian indicators that point to a near-term “sharp” move higher in the markets and a continuation of this generational bull market. Our call from Monday was that the Monday lows would be THE lows and on a closing basis…
Good Thursday morning.
For our newer VRA readers, welcome….it’s great having you with us. We encourage you to stay locked in over the months and years to come, as we continue on our mission to “Crush Mr. Market”.
Good Thursday morning.
Brief recap of where things stand with the VRA Investing System. Based on the lessons learned from my mentors (Ted Parson, Underwood Neuhaus and Michael Metz, Oppenheimer) I’ve spent the last 40 years building the VRA System. The VRA Investing System is made up of 12 screens, 70% fundamental and 30% technical. ..
Good Thursday morning. Following yesterdays strong jobs data and solid open we had a mid-day shakeout that took the markets from 1% higher to 1% lower, in fairly short order…
Good Thursday morning. We’d like to welcome our new VRA Readers that have joined us recently, many of which have come to us through our TV work with Wayne Allyn Root, Grant Stinchfield and Charles Payne, three American patriots that we are proud to call friends…
Good Thursday afternoon. I was going to do a deep dive on yesterday’s Fed meeting and presser with J Powell, but frankly, it’s not worth our time and energy…
Good Thursday morning. Breaking: Final Q3 GDP is in with growth of 4.4% vs estimates of 4.3%. Beginning last summer we were the first strategists in America (that we are aware of) that began forecasting GDP growth would surpass 5% by Q3 2026. With the Atlanta Fed’s Q4 GDPNow estimate of 5.4% growth, it looks like the Trump Economic Miracle will beat our GDP estimates to the punch.
Good Thursday morning. As we’ve covered extensively over the last 3 years, we have entered a “structural” bull market that will carry US stocks sharply higher through at least 2030. The Roaring 2020’s combined with our "Big 3”…
Good Thursday morning. Before we get to the latest market moving news, here are our full year returns for 2025, and what you can expect from the VRA in 2026.
Good Friday morning. Over the last couple of weeks we’ve talked about the reasons for this short term liquidity-led shakeout, including yesterdays massive intraday reversal which began exactly as (fired) Fed Governor Lisa Cook was giving a speech where she warned extensively of a “sharp market reversal” (In no way do I believe this was a coincidence). However, what’s more important this morning is covering where we are and what comes next.
Good Friday morning. Heads up: I’m scheduled to be on ‘Making Money with Charles Payne’ in the 2PM EST hour. Hope you can join us.
Market Update…
Good Friday morning. Today we’ll cover some of the “chinks in the armor, of this market, then we’ll get to the government shutdown, and finally we will wrap the week with the markets and economy…
Heads up; I’m scheduled to be on Fox Business “Making Money with Charles Payne” in the 2PM EST hour. Hope you can join in (I’ll post the exact time on X).
Personal note: I wanted to take a second to say thank you for being here with us…
Good Friday morning. We have a few VRA Quick Hitters for you this AM:
1.) 2025 Returns: Broad Market & VRA Portfolio…
I have posted this VRA Letter each 9/11 since 2006 (updated only with relevant facts), when my research and due diligence made it no longer possible to remain silent…
Good Thursday morning. As we came into Q2 earnings reports we explained why Wall Street was being far too pessimistic. As you read these excellent Q2 earnings below, featuring earnings growth for the S&P 500 of 11.8%, remember that Wall Street was forecasting growth of just 4.9% (vs our estimates 8–10% growth).
Heads up: I’ll be on Wayne Allyn Root’s hit new podcast (with The Gateway Pundit) tonight at 7:30 EST. Stream via Waynes X account, Rumble, TGP, etc. Hope you can join us as we discuss the Trump Economic Miracle 2.0 and some of the bullish topics we talk about here daily.
Macro Update: The Trump Economic Miracle 2.0…
By this time in 2022, Tyler and I had completed our research for The Big Bribe and were about 80% finished writing the book (my 4th, Tyler's 1st). Frankly, we were stunned by what we were finding…
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