VRA Investment Letter: VRA Quick Hitters - 2025 Returns, Government Shutdown, Value Stocks Catch-Up, Gold & The Miners.
/Good Friday morning. We have a few VRA Quick Hitters for you this AM:
1.) 2025 Returns: Broad Market & VRA Portfolio…
Read MoreGood Friday morning. We have a few VRA Quick Hitters for you this AM:
1.) 2025 Returns: Broad Market & VRA Portfolio…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. Another day featuring sharp early morning losses, followed by a strong rally in the afternoon which saw the Dow Jones rally close to 400 points off of the lows. That’s back to back days, one featuring a straight up move in Nasdaq and one day in the Dow Jones…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. With less than 3 weeks to go to the election our political coverage will likely ramp up. That’s the case this morning, following Harris’ interview last night with Fox’s Bret Baier…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. It’s always great being on with Charles Payne. There aren’t many smart-money “talking heads”, but Charles is one of them. The reality is that the vast majority of media personalities know that “fear sells” so they pander to worst-case scenarios
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. After spending more than a year writing “The Big Bribe” Tyler and I published it just prior to the 10/13/22 bear market lows. We forecast a boom time in America, with the Roaring 2020’s as the theme.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning. Following the parabolic move higher in each major US equity index from the 10/27 lows…just as seasonality was turning bullish…on the VRA System we now have each index hitting extreme overbought levels, but importantly this is only on our shortest term momentum oscillators. Combined with the shockingly bullish technical signals that we’ve seen over the last 8 trading days it remains our view that important lows are in place and that pullbacks from here should continue to be bought (if we have pullbacks, that is).
Read MoreGood Friday afternoon all. Before we get to the markets, which has both a crash scenario along with some of their most oversold levels we’ve ever seen, we’re beginning this morning with “Team Lockstep”. Here’s todays VRA VidCast covering this topic:
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. As we start trading today the VRA Portfolio is up 17.6% in 2022. That compares to losses of 10-14% in our broad markets. Folks, this feels like on of those years for our stocks. I remember this feeling, similar to the years we’ve put up 100-200% + net gains.
Read MoreGood Friday morning all.
While everyone was panicking yesterday morning, we were buyers. We never forget the people in our lives that made the biggest impressions. Professionally, that’s my first mentor Ted Parsons (RIP Ted). Ted’s mentor worked on Wall Street during the crash….
Read MoreEven as countries all over the world adopted elements of fascism (most all but Sweden, really), for those that still couldn’t see CV insanity as the “plandemic” that it is, after Canada’s invocation of the Emergency Act…full-on hard-core fascism from our northern neighbor…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. It has been a mixed week for our markets as higher interest rates and our leadership tech/growth stocks tend not to be besties. As we are wrapping up the worst 30 day period for the markets but also as we prepare to enter the best 7 months for the markets (October- May, going back some 70 years) …
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. Not only was yesterday a big up day across the board, with gains of 1% to 1.5% in each of our broad market indexes (small caps led the way, +1.51%. Importantly we had confirmation from the internals, namely in NYSE up-volume,
Read MoreGood Friday morning all. Some interesting data here; for the last 6 months the markets have sold off into today’s options expiration, with those Friday lows marking THE lows into months end. And here’s MORE bullishly compelling data from our investor sentiment surveys.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. As we have covered in previous updates, as bad as J Powells track record is (once his pressers begin the markets immediately start to tank), JP actually scored a win yesterday. When he began speaking the Dow was -309 and Nasdaq -104, but by the close the Dow was -265…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. Breaking news from the ADP jobs report this AM which came in at 978,000 jobs created vs estimate of 650,000. I can tell you that there’s some nervousness around the May jobs report that’ll be out tomorrow morning (8:30 AM EST),
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. This feels as much like a goldilocks market as I can remember. You know the reasons we’re bullish…the reasons we’ve been aggressively bullish for the last 14 months…but its primarily about two issues. These are the most important two issues of any bull or bear market;
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. China’s warnings about “unreasonable commodity price rises” and their latest verbal attacks against crypto’s/Bitcoin resulted in an “everything must go” sell-off yesterday morning. From stocks, bonds, commodities to cryptos,
Read MoreGood Thursday morning and welcome to the first trading week of May. As we have covered in these pages each year, from 2003 on, May to October are the markets worst 6 months of the year with >90% of all stock market gains occurring from November to April.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. Quite the mid-day reversal yesterday, immediately following the Coinbase IPO. Coinbase, which we will own in the VRA Portfolio at some point soon, debuted by popping to $429/share (priced at $250), giving it a first day market cap of $100 billion,
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"Kip's VRA financial newsletter is a MUST read for every saavy investor in this country. Disregard it at your own peril. His mantra is my mantra. Kip Herriage's newsletter is my financial Bible."
--Wayne Allyn Root
2008 Libertarian Vice Presidential candidate
Author, "The Conscience of a Libertarian"
Good Friday morning. Before we get to today’s Letter, there is one important point to remember: we are still extraordinarily early in this bull market. The permabears that like to fear monger us into being tempted to remove money from the markets should be actively ignored and avoided…
Good Friday morning. Breaking: the jobs report for April is in and it’s another beat to the upside. 117,000 jobs were created, beating the estimate of 65,000, with private payrolls almost doubling previous estimates. The unemployment rate stays unchanged at 4.3%. For a comp, take a look north at our neighbor Canada, which just reported a miserable unemployment rate of 6.9%…
Good Thursday morning. We’re seeing important technical and fundamental…and yes, contrarian indicators that point to a near-term “sharp” move higher in the markets and a continuation of this generational bull market. Our call from Monday was that the Monday lows would be THE lows and on a closing basis…
Good Thursday morning.
For our newer VRA readers, welcome….it’s great having you with us. We encourage you to stay locked in over the months and years to come, as we continue on our mission to “Crush Mr. Market”.
Good Thursday morning.
Brief recap of where things stand with the VRA Investing System. Based on the lessons learned from my mentors (Ted Parson, Underwood Neuhaus and Michael Metz, Oppenheimer) I’ve spent the last 40 years building the VRA System. The VRA Investing System is made up of 12 screens, 70% fundamental and 30% technical. ..
Good Thursday morning. Following yesterdays strong jobs data and solid open we had a mid-day shakeout that took the markets from 1% higher to 1% lower, in fairly short order…
Good Thursday morning. We’d like to welcome our new VRA Readers that have joined us recently, many of which have come to us through our TV work with Wayne Allyn Root, Grant Stinchfield and Charles Payne, three American patriots that we are proud to call friends…
Good Thursday afternoon. I was going to do a deep dive on yesterday’s Fed meeting and presser with J Powell, but frankly, it’s not worth our time and energy…
Good Thursday morning. Breaking: Final Q3 GDP is in with growth of 4.4% vs estimates of 4.3%. Beginning last summer we were the first strategists in America (that we are aware of) that began forecasting GDP growth would surpass 5% by Q3 2026. With the Atlanta Fed’s Q4 GDPNow estimate of 5.4% growth, it looks like the Trump Economic Miracle will beat our GDP estimates to the punch.
Good Thursday morning. As we’ve covered extensively over the last 3 years, we have entered a “structural” bull market that will carry US stocks sharply higher through at least 2030. The Roaring 2020’s combined with our "Big 3”…
Good Thursday morning. Before we get to the latest market moving news, here are our full year returns for 2025, and what you can expect from the VRA in 2026.
Good Friday morning. Over the last couple of weeks we’ve talked about the reasons for this short term liquidity-led shakeout, including yesterdays massive intraday reversal which began exactly as (fired) Fed Governor Lisa Cook was giving a speech where she warned extensively of a “sharp market reversal” (In no way do I believe this was a coincidence). However, what’s more important this morning is covering where we are and what comes next.
Good Friday morning. Heads up: I’m scheduled to be on ‘Making Money with Charles Payne’ in the 2PM EST hour. Hope you can join us.
Market Update…
Good Friday morning. Today we’ll cover some of the “chinks in the armor, of this market, then we’ll get to the government shutdown, and finally we will wrap the week with the markets and economy…
Heads up; I’m scheduled to be on Fox Business “Making Money with Charles Payne” in the 2PM EST hour. Hope you can join in (I’ll post the exact time on X).
Personal note: I wanted to take a second to say thank you for being here with us…
Good Friday morning. We have a few VRA Quick Hitters for you this AM:
1.) 2025 Returns: Broad Market & VRA Portfolio…
I have posted this VRA Letter each 9/11 since 2006 (updated only with relevant facts), when my research and due diligence made it no longer possible to remain silent…
Good Thursday morning. As we came into Q2 earnings reports we explained why Wall Street was being far too pessimistic. As you read these excellent Q2 earnings below, featuring earnings growth for the S&P 500 of 11.8%, remember that Wall Street was forecasting growth of just 4.9% (vs our estimates 8–10% growth).
Heads up: I’ll be on Wayne Allyn Root’s hit new podcast (with The Gateway Pundit) tonight at 7:30 EST. Stream via Waynes X account, Rumble, TGP, etc. Hope you can join us as we discuss the Trump Economic Miracle 2.0 and some of the bullish topics we talk about here daily.
Macro Update: The Trump Economic Miracle 2.0…
By this time in 2022, Tyler and I had completed our research for The Big Bribe and were about 80% finished writing the book (my 4th, Tyler's 1st). Frankly, we were stunned by what we were finding…
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