VRA Investment Letter: 50.26% Gains for VRA Portfolio in 2023. Key Investing Notes for 2024. Latest From Rich Ross. Buy the Dip in the Miners.

VRA Investment Letter: 50.26% Gains for VRA Portfolio in 2023. Key Investing Notes for 2024. Latest From Rich Ross. Buy the Dip in the Miners.

Good Thursday morning. 2023 marked 17/20 years that the VRA has outperformed the markets. The VRA Portfolio finished the year with gains of 50.26%, beating each US equity index (S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Russell 2000) with the Nasdaq as our closest competitor (+43.7%). Our comp each year is the Russell 2000 (similar risk profiles), which finished 2023 with gains of 15.1%.

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VRA Investment Letter: Seasonality Points to Near-term Weakness. American Deleveraging. BAML Survey. Innovation “Creates" More Jobs.

VRA Investment Letter: Seasonality Points to Near-term Weakness. American Deleveraging. BAML Survey. Innovation “Creates" More Jobs.

Good Friday morning. Next week commences the worst week of the year for the S&P 500 (since 1950, per Stock Traders Almanac). 2023 has featured the highest degree of “seasonality reliability” in recent memory, so we’ll see how the week plays out. With the Fed meeting next week…

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VRA Investment Update: Disinflation is Here. Get Ready for 2% Inflation Next Year PLUS Fed Rate Cuts. How We Want to Play It.

VRA Investment Update: Disinflation is Here. Get Ready for 2% Inflation Next Year PLUS Fed Rate Cuts. How We Want to Play It.

Good Thursday morning. July CPI (consumer prices) gained 3.2% on an annual basis, less than the 3.3% consensus from economists estimates. On a month-to-month basis, inflation increased just 0.2%, which was in-line with estimates while year/year CPI came in at 4.7%, matching estimates. The report also said real average weekly earnings were unchanged last month, in another positive sign that the Fed can be less concerned about a wage price spiral.

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VRA Investment Update: Soaring Transportation and Housing Industries; It's Boom Time.

VRA Investment Update: Soaring Transportation and Housing Industries; It's Boom Time.

Good Thursday morning. So I’m working out this morning when Delta Airlines reported earnings…a record beating quarter for both revenue and earnings…which included the statement that they are ordering a massive number of new planes to keep up with soaring travel demand…

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VRA Investment Update: Fund Flows & Analytics Point to Continuation of Move Higher. Strong Small Caps & Transports Have Bears Capitulating.

VRA Investment Update: Fund Flows & Analytics Point to Continuation of Move Higher. Strong Small Caps & Transports Have Bears Capitulating.

As we head into the final two trading days of June, in advance of both a new month and quarter, we expect to see significant fund flows into stocks from retirement funds, pensions, share buybacks, etc. The investing public is beginning to come back into stocks, as are institutional investors…

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